Science Fiction
Dictionary
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
 |
Global Crowd Intelligence Needs Your Help
Global Crowd Intelligence (GCI) is an experimental site set up to see if crowd sourcing can improve forecasting accuracy on issues all around the world. Their main focus is to see if it is possible to predict the outcome of current events, like elections, technology and military conflicts.
You can make forecasts anonymously and we only ask for minimal personal information so we can track and report your progress. We protect any personally identifiable data and do not share it with any government agency or anyone else. Our goal is that you enjoy the challenge of forecasting real-world events, the competitive nature of the site, and the social aspects of discussing future events with other interested individuals. We only use your forecasts to get smarter about how a crowd can make the best possible forecasts.
We use the actual outcomes to score your performance and determine the accuracy of our methods. Forecast topics are not related to actual intelligence operations. The data we collect is only used to improve our forecasting methods. Access levels reflect forecast difficulty and are not related in any way to government security clearances.
(Global Crowd Intelligence leader boards)
Here's how you can participate:
A mission is a forecast question about a future world event. Every mission has an opening/starting and closing/finishing time. You accept a mission by providing your own prediction for a forecast question. You can also participate in discussions regarding each mission and see who else is participating. Over time, new evidence may emerge and you may have additional insights. You are encouraged to periodically review and update your active missions.You earn XP [experience points] when you accept a mission, make a comment, make a forecast, are correct, or earn achievements. You never lose experience. As your experience increases, you will progress to higher levels.
As your XP grows, more missions and capabilities will be available to you. Each level comes with a new ribbon next to your alias. Your dossier shows your current level, number of experience points, and how close you are to the next level. Activities and comments of all analysts are displayed and they show the level of the analyst that provided them. The higher your level, the more likely it is that other analysts pay attention to your inputs.
In his 1975 novel The Shockwave Rider, John Brunner introduces sf readers to the idea of a Delphi pool:
It works, approximately, like this.First you corner a large - if possible, a very large - number of people who, while they've never formally studied the subject you're going to ask them about and hence are unlikely to recall the correct answer, are nonetheless plugged into the culture to which the question relates.
Then you ask them, as it might be, to estimate how many people died in the great influenza epidemic which followed World War I...
Curiously, when you consolidate their replies they tend to cluster around the actual figure as recorded in almanacs, yearbooks and statical returns.
(Read more about Brunner's Delphi pool)
Brunner presumably derives his idea from the Delphi method, which was created by the Rand Corporation in 1949 to try to improve predictions of what would happen under the Cold War. The Delphi method differs from what Brunner suggested, in that it relied on panels of experts under the guidance of a facilitator. Brunner is a very early pioneer in the idea of crowd-sourced applications, probably because he had already conceived of the idea of a national data-net with hundreds of millions of users.
I'd also like to point out that I've turned comments back on and the contact form is also open.
Take a look at GlobalCrowd.com via Kurzweil AI.
Scroll down for more stories in the same category. (Story submitted 10/17/2012)
Follow this kind of news @Technovelgy.| Email | RSS | Blog It | Stumble | del.icio.us | Digg | Reddit |
Would
you like to contribute a story tip?
It's easy:
Get the URL of the story, and the related sf author, and add
it here.
Comment/Join discussion ( 0 )
Related News Stories - (" Culture ")
How Old Are Tesla Designs?
You be the judge.
California Fireman Arrested For Starting Fires
'Fire is bright and fire is clean.' - Ray Brandbury, 1953.
Tether Cryptocurrency Flow Rate US$190Bn Per Day
'Alex did not find it surprising that people... were electronically minting their own cash.' - Bruce Sterling, 1994.
Poul Anderson's 'Brain Wave'
"Everybody and his dog, it seemed, wanted to live out in the country; transportation and communication were no longer isolating factors." - Poul Anderson, 1953.
Technovelgy (that's tech-novel-gee!) is devoted to the creative science inventions and ideas of sf authors. Look for the Invention Category that interests you, the Glossary, the Invention Timeline, or see what's New.
Science Fiction
Timeline
1600-1899
1900-1939
1940's 1950's
1960's 1970's
1980's 1990's
2000's 2010's
Current News
Mechazilla Arms Catch A Falling Starship, But Check Out SF Landing-ARMS
'...the rocket’s landing-arms automatically unfolded.'
A System To Defeat AI Face Recognition
'...points and patches of light... sliding all over their faces in a programmed manner that had been designed to foil facial recognition systems.'
Robot Hand Separate From Robot
'The crawling, exploring object was V-Stephen's surgeon-hand...'
Hybrid Wind Solar Devices
'...the combined Wind-Suncatcher, like a spray of tulips mounted fanwise.'
Is Optimus Autonomous Or Teleoperated?
'I went to the control room where the three other men were manipulating their mechanical men.'
Robot Masseuse Rubs People The Right Way
'The automatic massager began to fumble gently...'
Solar-Powered Space Trains On The Moon
'The low-slung monorail car, straddling its single track, bored through the shadows on a slowly rising course.'
Drone Deliveries Instead Of Waiters In Restaurants?
'It was a smooth ovoid floating a few inches from the floor...'
Optimus Robot Can Charge Itself
'... he thrust in his charging arm to replenish his store of energy.'
Skip Movewear Arc'teryx AI Pants
'...the terrible Jovian gravity that made each movement an effort.'
'Robovan' Name Already Taken - Elon, Try These
There are alternative names that are probably in the public domain by now.
How Old Are Tesla Designs?
You be the judge.
Is Your Autonomous Tractor Safe?
'The field-minder finished turning the top-soil of a two-thousand-acre field.'
Smart TVs Are Listening!
'You had to live -- did live, from habit that became instinct -- in the assumption that every sound you made was overheard...'
Police Drones In China Would Like To Have A Word With You
''OVERRIDE,' the City Fathers said suddenly, without being asked anything at all.'
Oh Great (Part 2), Fence-Climbing Robots
Please, no stingers.
