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"Generally, the human race avoids doing anything radical until forced into it."
- Frederik Pohl
 |
| Psychohistory | ||
| Branch of mathematics describes the behavior of human beings en masses. |
This is the definition of psychohistory in the novel. The word “psychohistory” appeared in Asimov’s short story “Foundation” which was published in Astounding Science Fiction in 1942. Four stories were stitched together and published as a novel in 1951.
| PSYCHOHISTORY–...Gaal Dornick, using nonmathematical concepts, has defined
psychohistory to be that branch of mathematics which deals with the
reactions of human conglomerates to fixed social and economic stimuli....
... Implicit in all these definitions is the assumption that the human conglomerate being dealt with is sufficiently large for valid statistical treatment. The necessary size of such a conglomerate may be determined by Seldon's First Theorem which ... A further necessary assumption is that the human conglomerate be itself unaware of psychohistoric analysis in order that its reactions be truly random ...
 (First Vault from 'Foundation' by Isaac Asimov) The basis of all valid psychohistory lies in the development of the Seldon Plan. Functions which exhibit properties congruent to those of such social and economic forces as ... ENCYCLOPEDIA GALACTICA |
| Technovelgy from Foundation,
by Isaac Asimov. Published by Doubleday in 1951 Additional resources -
|
A person who studies and applies psychohistory is a psychohistorian.
Here is another quote, taken from the second book in the series, Foundation and Empire:
There are earlier uses of this word in science fiction. For example, in Eric Frank Russell's 1941 story Beyond All Weapons.
The Director’s eyes were dangerous. But I plunged on recklessly.
“Yes, mass hypnotism — that has
been your secret weapon. You may
have deluded most of the world, but
you forget I studied psycho-history
in what you are pleased to call the
Barbaric Era. Earlier dictators than
you fumbled around with the idea of
mass hypnosis. There was a man
named Hitler back in the 1930s and
’40s who used it with some crude
success. But he didn’t know anything about the scientific end of it.
He employed no hypnosis rays or
skillful projections to break into the
unconscious and the subliminal
thresholds. He relied on a raucous
voice and emotional reiterations.
You have been far cleverer. Your
Sunday Assemblies renew your contacts with all the earth, rebathing
the poor dupes in hypnosis rays and
sliding afresh the projectional suggestions of your voice and mind into
theirs.”
I held her tight. “All eyewitness
accounts are like that,” I told her
earnestly. “As the wife of a man
who has devoted most of his life
to the application of psychology to
historical data you ought to realize
that.
"The laws of history are as absolute at the laws of physics, and if the probabilities of error are greater, it is only because history does not deal with as many humans as physics does atoms, so that individual variations count for more."
You made a name for yourself in the field of Psycho-History and taught at the University of Megalon...
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Additional
resources:
More Ideas
and Technology from Foundation
More Ideas
and Technology by Isaac Asimov
Tech news articles related to Foundation
Tech news articles related to works by Isaac Asimov
Psychohistory-related
news articles:
- Paul Krugman's Asimov Inspiration
- TASC - DARPA's Psychohistory
- Asimov's Psychohistory May Be Possible
- Cliodynamics: Modeling Complex Societies Mathematically
- Google And The Psychohistorians
- Fast Entropy, PHE And Psychohistory
- FuturICT Knowledge Accelerator And Psychohistory
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| A Remarkable Coincidence |
| Is It Time To Forbid Human Driving? |
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